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Post by rgs2001uk on Apr 7, 2021 22:05:33 GMT 7
For those who are interested, I have just offloaded 50% of my Croda shares, to be honest of late, they have been up and down like a bar girls knickers, was a fun ride, but dont need the hassle these days.
Before sale,
Croda, 10%
JP Morgan Emerg Mkts, 2.5%
BG Europe 2.5%.
Post sale.
Croda 5%
JP EM 5%
BG Europe 5%.
It didnt start out that way, perfomance overtook holdings as a %age.
Next up, Scottish Mort.
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siampolee
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Post by siampolee on Apr 8, 2021 11:03:53 GMT 7
Must have been up market bars you frequented. Bar girls wearing knickers,what next.
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me
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Post by me on Apr 8, 2021 15:34:32 GMT 7
Must have been up market bars you frequented. Bar girls wearing knickers,what next. Must be a middle class bar.....only one knickers, not knickers and shorts under the mini skirt.
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Post by rgs2001uk on Apr 8, 2021 20:02:25 GMT 7
Must have been up market bars you frequented. Bar girls wearing knickers,what next. Smokie and I only frequent upscale joints in Ratchada, we leave the Suk ghetto to tourists.
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AyG
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Post by AyG on Apr 8, 2021 20:55:53 GMT 7
I have just offloaded 50% of my Croda shares If you no longer have confidence in Croda, why did you only offload 50%?
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Post by rgs2001uk on Apr 8, 2021 21:07:24 GMT 7
I have just offloaded 50% of my Croda shares If you no longer have confidence in Croda, why did you only offload 50%? A perfectly valid question, and one I am more than happy to answer, I still have confidence in Croda, my problem is, they grew too fast and distorted my holdings. I still have confidence in Scottish Mort, but FFS, they account for 17% of my portfolio, that situation will also be addressed in the coming weeks. Its not always about how much you make on the upside, but also how much you lose on the downside. As mentioned, rebalancing, profit taking, call it what you will, its all about bringing the ship back on an even keel.
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Post by rgs2001uk on Apr 8, 2021 21:38:58 GMT 7
AyG, I apologise for my late reply in getting back to you,had to sign out and go elsewhere.
I think even you would agree, there is something not quite right, when 3 out of 13 holdings account for over 40% of your holdings.
I am neither a box ticker or chartist, and as had been said on these forums before, I am a great fan of BG and their products.
At this moment in time, the following 3 and their % of my portfolio.
Scottish Mort, 17.0%
Edinburgh, 12.7%
Monks, 13.1%
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AyG
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Post by AyG on Apr 9, 2021 7:21:45 GMT 7
As mentioned, rebalancing, profit taking, call it what you will, its all about bringing the ship back on an even keel. Ah. I had wondered whether you were doing what I have tended to do: when I fall out of love with a fund, I sell half. It's something to do with emotional attachment, and the fear that if I sold it all the fund performance might suddenly rocket. It's a bad practice which can lead to a large number of relatively small holdings, which is why I strictly limit the total number of holdings I have at any given time. I find selling much harder than buying. Even now I haven't sold my holding of JEO, even though logic dictates I should.
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AyG
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Post by AyG on Apr 9, 2021 7:30:05 GMT 7
AyG, I apologise for my late reply in getting back to you No apology needed. there is something not quite right, when 3 out of 13 holdings account for over 40% of your holdings. I certainly would feel uncomfortable with such a high percentage with one fund manager, even if it is Baillie Gifford. Their house style has worked well in recent years, but there's no guarantee that it will continue to do so indefinitely. And with Baillie Gifford, it really is a single house style applied across all their funds, which is quite unusual. Anyway, this prompted me to look at my own investments to see where I held more than one fund with the same fund manager. This is what I found (fund manager/percent holding/no. of funds): Artemis | 5.4% | 2 | Baillie Gifford | 9.9% | 3 | Janus Henderson | 7.1% | 3 | JP Morgan | 9.9% | 2 | Lindsell Train | 10.7% | 3 | Schroder | 8.0% | 2 |
That's out of 29 funds I currently hold, of which 4 are in Thailand. Not sure it means very much, other than that I'm not very concentrated in any single fund manager.
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Post by eldivino on Apr 18, 2021 1:27:04 GMT 7
How do you guys weight your different positions anyway? Is there any logic you follow (I believe there must be), similar to how passive investors weigh different geographies by market cap or GDP (e.g., developed world vs. emerging markets 70/30)?
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chiangmai
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Post by chiangmai on Apr 18, 2021 6:30:34 GMT 7
How do you guys weight your different positions anyway? Is there any logic you follow (I believe there must be), similar to how passive investors weigh different geographies by market cap or GDP (e.g., developed world vs. emerging markets 70/30)? I do it the same way. I dissect all my holdings in a spreadsheet to understand geographic allocation by country and allocation by capitalization and I try to update it at least every few weeks. If you want to be reasonably accurate you have to stay on top of things, I just found that JPM Emerging Markets fund switched out of the third world and now invests 30% in the US! Trustnet, Morningstar and HL all have forensic or x-ray tools to help with this. Once you understand those allocations you can group countries by regions. But the process is a minefield because there is no globally agreed definition of small/med/large cap and everyone has their own ideas about which countries constitute Emerging Markets and developed Asia etc.
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chiangmai
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Post by chiangmai on Apr 18, 2021 6:34:43 GMT 7
AyG, I apologise for my late reply in getting back to you No apology needed. there is something not quite right, when 3 out of 13 holdings account for over 40% of your holdings. I certainly would feel uncomfortable with such a high percentage with one fund manager, even if it is Baillie Gifford. Their house style has worked well in recent years, but there's no guarantee that it will continue to do so indefinitely. And with Baillie Gifford, it really is a single house style applied across all their funds, which is quite unusual. Anyway, this prompted me to look at my own investments to see where I held more than one fund with the same fund manager. This is what I found (fund manager/percent holding/no. of funds): Artemis | 5.4% | 2 | Baillie Gifford | 9.9% | 3 | Janus Henderson | 7.1% | 3 | JP Morgan | 9.9% | 2 | Lindsell Train | 10.7% | 3 | Schroder | 8.0% | 2 |
That's out of 29 funds I currently hold, of which 4 are in Thailand. Not sure it means very much, other than that I'm not very concentrated in any single fund manager. And you were banging on about how the public shouldn't be buying into popular big name funds and here you are holding 20% in LT and BG...tsk tsk.
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AyG
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Post by AyG on Apr 18, 2021 10:14:57 GMT 7
And you were banging on about how the public shouldn't be buying into popular big name funds and here you are holding 20% in LT and BG...tsk tsk. Not exactly. I was saying one shouldn't buy funds which are currently popular for a few reasons, including: (1) they are almost certainly popular because of recent performance, and that's not guaranteed to continue, (2) the fund manager may struggle to invest all the additional inflows, leading to a drift of style (e.g. buying fewer small caps), (3) the fund may become unwieldy, making changes to the investments difficult. Of my six investments in Lindsell Train and Baillie Gifford, two are in Japanese funds, which are relatively small and not popular. (Michael Train has particularly deep experience of Japanese equities.) 1Two are investment trusts which, having a closed structure, aren't subject to the same problems of capacity as mutual funds 2. The final two are Baillie Gifford Global Discovery and Lindsell Train Global Equity. Global Discovery I bought "for fun" - it's higher risk than most of my investments, and with Global Equity, I like quality/growth funds, and I think the fund can grow a fair bit before it hits capacity issues. (The fund managers have said so, too.) I don't think there's a comparable investment trust available, unfortunately. In any case, the two are together a tiny proportion of my investments. Notes: (1) Why not investment trusts for Japan? It's because I lack strong conviction in Japan as a market, so I may sell in the next two or three years. This avoids the costs associated with buying and selling investment trusts: stamp duty, bid offer spread. (2) This isn't strictly true since investment trusts can issue new shares/cancel existing shares after buying them into treasury. However, the trusts have control over the process, so it's far less of an issue - or even no issue at all, according to the trust's policies.
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chiangmai
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Post by chiangmai on Apr 18, 2021 16:12:41 GMT 7
I can't be bothered to search through the threads but I recall vividly when you admonished Fletch for holding LT, following which, you and I had an exchange about Joe Public holding popular names...tell me the truth AyG, are you secretly holding Tesla shares also but are too embarrassed to admit it?
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Post by rgs2001uk on Apr 20, 2021 21:41:06 GMT 7
How do you guys weight your different positions anyway? Is there any logic you follow (I believe there must be), similar to how passive investors weigh different geographies by market cap or GDP (e.g., developed world vs. emerging markets 70/30)? Long term capital growth, with old established firms with a proven track record, not interested in here today gone tomorrow types, that said, once a fund manager changes it can throw things off balance, I think of Alliance Trust and Brunner, both of which I have offloaded. Not interested in dividends,eg Witan. Not interested in charts that tell me the ideal portfolio should contain x y and z. Horses for courses, a pensioner with no pension has a differing approach to investing than I do. Just had a quick look at my portfolio, estimated yield, 0.6%.
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