chiangmai
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Post by chiangmai on Sept 16, 2024 20:41:08 GMT 7
Kids today, no stamina.....I bet they're all Southern woofters.
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rott
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Post by rott on Sept 17, 2024 17:35:26 GMT 7
Will the US$ be worthless soon? "Former President Donald Trump heaped more praise on the "very, very smart people" of the crypto industry in an interview broadcast on Friday, suggesting that the U.S. embracing Bitcoin {{BTC}} could aid in addressing the $35 trillion U.S. national debt." The flat-earthers on the other place who are always forecasting the imminent demise of the fiat currencies may be correct after all. Unfortunately the OP won't be available for comment as he is on a world tour.
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Mosha
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Post by Mosha on Oct 17, 2024 13:30:15 GMT 7
Thai interest rates cut yesterday by 25 points
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rott
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The Baht
Oct 18, 2024 9:43:55 GMT 7
via mobile
Post by rott on Oct 18, 2024 9:43:55 GMT 7
Not yet helping our exchange rate though.
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smokie36
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The Baht
Oct 18, 2024 15:48:40 GMT 7
via mobile
Post by smokie36 on Oct 18, 2024 15:48:40 GMT 7
Can someone lend me 1000 Baht?
I'm hungry.
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chiangmai
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Post by chiangmai on Oct 18, 2024 16:29:42 GMT 7
Not yet helping our exchange rate though. The interest rate change is only one factor in the puzzle, a strengthening USD, the ME crisis and Thai capital inflows are other pieces that need to be factored in.
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Mosha
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Post by Mosha on Oct 18, 2024 16:53:07 GMT 7
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Mosha
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Post by Mosha on Oct 19, 2024 12:55:49 GMT 7
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chiangmai
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Post by chiangmai on Oct 20, 2024 6:55:14 GMT 7
The USD is forecast to strengthen by year end, based on the certainty of the election results, most Thai forex commentators are suggesting a weaker baht at that time. Also, the US Fed is rethinking the speed and scale of interest rate cuts, which further points towards a weaker baht, if US rates are not cut as aggressively as previously thought. Others countries are thinking along similar lines, India for one. So maybe BOT doesn't cut in December because that would weaken THB perhaps too far and make imported oil more expensive. There are of course lots of wild cards floating around, not least of which is the rush to safe haven currencies in light of everyone trying to kill everyone else. gold is at a record high. I'm planning on bringing some UK funds over but will wait until November to see what happens, before acting. If I can get 45, I think that's fair value, for me.
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chiangmai
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Post by chiangmai on Oct 21, 2024 21:23:03 GMT 7
A couple of big market players have publicly said they expect the US 10 year to hit 5% inside 6 months, the reason being a much slower pace of interest rate cuts than is currently forecast. The higher the US rates are and the longer they stay high, the stronger USD will remain and the more THB we'll get in the exchange rate, all things being equal that is.
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siampolee
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Post by siampolee on Oct 21, 2024 21:59:18 GMT 7
All well and good as it would seem and according to the experts the baht may well weaken to the benefit of the pound.
However there may well be a caveat in that presumed benefit in the exchange rate of the pound to the baht...
That caveat, or nemesis, is in the form of Rachel Reeves and her and the Labour governments October the 30th budget.
The track record of all Labour governments since W.W.2 has been one of eviscerating the pound sterling as well as the UK economy and its people.
U.K. citizens as well as worldwide U.K. expats we may well up soon having the one thing money can't buy. 'POVERTY...
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chiangmai
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Post by chiangmai on Oct 22, 2024 1:27:52 GMT 7
Yes I agree with this, RR is the wild card for the Pound.
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chiangmai
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Post by chiangmai on Oct 23, 2024 4:23:59 GMT 7
Markets are telling us wonderful things, mostly that there's going to be a soft landing and the US will NOT go into a recession, whoopee!. A key indicator is bond market yields which I'll leave you to read about below but is frankly as boring as watching paint dry. finance.yahoo.com/news/treasuries-plunge-1995-traders-see-154428389.htmlThe key point here is why markets are behaving that way, and I quote: "Rising yields also reflect growing concern that the Republican Party could take control of both the White House and Congress in the Nov. 5 election, potentially boosting the federal deficit and inflation". I don't know about anyone else but that quote scares the poo out of me, Trump in office, controlling both the Senate and Congress, Russia placated in Europe and tariffs on everything made in China. It just doesn't bare thinking about. www.bloomberg.com/asia
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Mosha
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Post by Mosha on Oct 23, 2024 9:02:33 GMT 7
Yes I agree with this, RR is the wild card for the Pound. If, as expected, fuel duty rises 7%. That's going to affect everything, food prices will rise. That 84 year old woman in Dewsbury who Free Gear was talking to will really struggle then
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smokie36
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Post by smokie36 on Oct 23, 2024 10:42:24 GMT 7
All well and good as it would seem and according to the experts the baht may well weaken to the benefit of the pound. However there may well be a caveat in that presumed benefit in the exchange rate of the pound to the baht... That caveat, or nemesis, is in the form of Rachel Reeves and her and the Labour governments October the 30th budget. The track record of all Labour governments since W.W.2 has been one of eviscerating the pound sterling as well as the UK economy and its people. U.K. citizens as well as worldwide U.K. expats we may well up soon having the one thing money can't buy. 'POVERTY... The UK is in a race to become a third world shithole....with a few super rich and the rest as serfs. Anyone who has the means is taking the exit door quick as possible.
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