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Post by mangomoney on Nov 3, 2017 14:59:43 GMT 7
BOE Raises Interest Rate for First Time in More Than DecadeBy Lucy Meakin November 2, 2017, 7:00 PM GMT+7 Updated on November 2, 2017, 7:22 PM GMT+7 -Cunliffe, Ramsden dissent in 7-2 vote to raise rate to 0.5% -Drops line that rate needs to rise more than market expects Bank of England policy makers raised interest rates for the first time in a decade, yet expressed concern for Britain’s Brexit-dented economy by indicating that another increase isn’t imminent. Led by Governor Mark Carney, the Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-2 on Thursday to increase the benchmark rate to 0.5 percent from 0.25 percent. The minutes of their meeting underscored worries that the economy is fragile as the 2019 split with the European Union nears. The more dovish outlook than investors anticipated pushed the pound down nearly 1 percent against the dollar to as low $1.3096 and gilts rose. U.K. money markets pushed back expectations for the next shift to September 2018 from August 2018 previously. “Interest rates are likely to rise only very gradually over an extended period of time,” said Colin Ellis, managing director for credit strategy at Moody’s Investors Service. “This benign outlook for interest rates differs from past monetary cycles, when policy rates rose more swiftly and more sharply after they reached their previous floors.” more... www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-02/boe-raises-interest-rate-for-first-time-in-more-than-10-years
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AyG
Crazy Mango Extraordinaire
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Post by AyG on Nov 3, 2017 15:16:06 GMT 7
And yet, perversely, the pound fell against major currencies, rather than rising.
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chiangmai
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Post by chiangmai on Nov 3, 2017 17:31:10 GMT 7
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Post by Fletchsmile on Nov 3, 2017 19:41:32 GMT 7
On the plus side, a small step towards "normality". But 1% in 2020 would still be ridiculously low. As a net borrower now cash-wise in Thailand and Singapore, hopefully their rates will also remain low for quite some time. If you can't beat them join them
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chiangmai
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Post by chiangmai on Nov 4, 2017 6:33:47 GMT 7
On the plus side, a small step towards "normality". But 1% in 2020 would still be ridiculously low. As a net borrower now cash-wise in Thailand and Singapore, hopefully their rates will also remain low for quite some time. If you can't beat them join them Jeremy Warner of the Telegraph is an excellent economist but he's also an eternal pessimist, sadly, even pessimists are right sometimes. He holds that the removal of QE by various governments will bring a financial day of reckoning, unlike any we've seen before and raising interest rates slowly will only delay armageddon slightly. His logic is that asset prices have increased sharply under QE, housing in particular, and this means the average consumer has taken on more debt than they should have. As QE is withdrawn and rates begin to increase the consumer gets squeezed but more importantly, over-inflated asset prices start to deflate and we're beginning to see that in Australia the UK and in parts of the US. Where that leaves the banks is with asset prices that are falling in value and consumers who can't afford to pay, the effect on derivatives and equity markets for similar reasons is even worse, or so he tells us. Now I don't think Jeremy is a prepper of any kind, he's a smart chap who was schooled at the Sorbonne and comes from a well-regarded family of economists, none of which prevents him from being a raving nutter. But he does have a serious point, global debt is at an all-time high, sovereign debt especially, hence there must come a time eventually when creditors risk not getting their money back and stop lending and/or governments undertake debt forgiveness with all the mayhem that entails at all levels of society. It's going to be messy, eventually, in the meantime, party on. www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/02/12/creditors-must-brace-for-a-tsunami-of-losses-in-a-world-awash-wi/
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siampolee
Detective
Alive alive O
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Post by siampolee on Nov 4, 2017 10:46:22 GMT 7
Methinks that all pessimist are in truth realist. If the worst happens they're right if not, well all is a bonus. But as siad there will come a downturn and an accountability time of course of such an event can't really be pinpointed. Bit like having grandson on my knee. Lots of gurgling laughter all round, then without a warning a super pee comes, mind you after the first amazed reaction good times return.
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